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Using sewage for real-time tracking of surges and declines in the coronavirus

Kent Kroeger
4 min readMay 24, 2020

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By Kent R. Kroeger (May 25, 2020)

A toilet (Photo by 浪速丹治)

The analysis of stool samples is a vital screening method for medical conditions ranging from colorectal cancer, hookworm, rotaviruses, and lactose intolerance.

It seems only logical that the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) could also be detected in stool samples.

In Paris, France, researchers monitored genome unit levels of SARS-CoV-2 in waste waters between March 5 to April 23 to determine if variations over time tracked closely with COVID-19 cases observed in the Paris-area.

They did.

Though it has not been peer-reviewed, the researchers posted their preliminary study on May 6th:

“The viral genomes could be detected before the beginning of the exponential growth of the epidemic. As importantly, a marked decrease in the quantities of genomes units was observed concomitantly with the reduction in the number of new COVID-19 cases which was an expected consequence of the lockdown. As a conclusion, this work suggests that a quantitative monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 genomes in waste waters should bring important and additional information for an improved survey of SARS-CoV-2 circulation at the local or regional scale.”

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Kent Kroeger
Kent Kroeger

Written by Kent Kroeger

I am a survey and statistical consultant with over 30 -years experience measuring and analyzing public opinion (You can contact me at: kroeger98@yahoo.com)

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