Our need for control has been shaken by the coronavirus

By Kent R. Kroeger (May 18, 2020)

Phyre2 model ribbon diagram rendering of the 2019-nCoV M(pro) protease as a target for antiviral drugs. (Courtesy of Innophore; Lawrence A Kelley, Stefans Mezulis, Christopher M Yates, Mark N Wass, Michael J E Sternberg; Use licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International license.)

Is the U.S. (& the world) controlling the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)?

From the U.S. experience (so far), aggregated to the state-level, the data do not tell us which suppression and mitigation (S&M) efforts have been more effective than others.

Graph by Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com)
Graph by Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com)

Should the data make us optimistic or pessimistic?

Based on the data, I am promiscuous in my belief that the U.S. is on the downhill side of this first coronavirus wave (see Figure 7). As for future waves, there is no consensus among epidemiologists on the shape they will take, but there appears to be a consensus that they will occur.

Source: Johns Hopkins University (CSSE)
Source: Johns Hopkins University (CSSE)

I am a survey and statistical consultant with over 30 -years experience measuring and analyzing public opinion (You can contact me at: kroeger98@yahoo.com)

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