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Hospital beds & restraining individual rights may be the key to reducing coronavirus mortality rates

Kent Kroeger
15 min readApr 15, 2020

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By Kent R. Kroeger (April 15, 2020)

Hospital beds in Regional Hospital of Apatzingan, Michoacán, Mexico (Photo by Alfonso Reyes)

Key Takeaways: At this point in the 2009–2010 coronavirus pandemic (9 April), the country-level variable that most strongly correlates with the incidence rate of coronavirus-related deaths is the number of hospital beds relative to population size.

Curiously, or perhaps not, there is also tentative evidence that countries with the most political freedom are experiencing higher numbers of coronavirus-related deaths per 1 million people, all else equal.

This could be a function of such countries having a harder time implementing restrictive, yet effective, mitigation and suppression policies — such as travel bans, stay-at-home orders, and business closures — due to public resistance, or…

…it could be because countries with political freedom are aided by law, economic means and/or cultural norms to be more forthcoming with accurate mortality figures.

And, of course, both statements could be true.

Accurate record keeping on deaths will be critical to our understanding of the coronavirus pandemic of 2009–2010. It is, somewhat sadly, a record keeping function governments do fairly well.

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Kent Kroeger
Kent Kroeger

Written by Kent Kroeger

I am a survey and statistical consultant with over 30 -years experience measuring and analyzing public opinion (You can contact me at: kroeger98@yahoo.com)

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