Are tropical cyclones increasing in number, duration or intensity?

Kent Kroeger
9 min readApr 24, 2019

By Kent R. Kroeger (April 24, 2019)

It is OK to be skeptical when it comes to End-Is-Nigh, Chicken Little alarmism over climate change. Yes, the earth is warming due mostly to human activities. And, yes, the sooner we transition to clean energy the better off we will be going forward.

But while I defer to the climatologists on the science of global warming and its probable consequences, my persistent belief is that humankind can and will accommodate, remediate, and even profit from climate change in the long-run. The upward sweeping arc of human history supports my confidence.

Furthermore, I will be long dead and unable to recalibrate my predictive model should my optimism prove wrong — which is also true of the pessimistic forecasts made by climatologists. Should their long-range predictions be substantively wrong that global warming will lead to major cities underwater, widespread famine, mass extinctions, and increased human warfare, they won’t be around to apologize.

And the scientists know that — which may explain their often extravagant claims about humankind’s future should we fail to address climate change.

And such is the dynamic when climate science interacts with the mainstream media and the political opportunists who…

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Kent Kroeger

I am a survey and statistical consultant with over 30 -years experience measuring and analyzing public opinion (You can contact me at: kroeger98@yahoo.com)