A revised model for predicting the Wuhan virus.

Kent Kroeger
6 min readFeb 8, 2020
Mapping of Wuhan Virus Cases in China (7 Feb 2020) (Source: CSSE at Johns Hopkins University)

“Those who have knowledge, don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge. “

— Lao Tzu, 6th Century BC Chinese Poet

In reality, Lao Tzu is quite wrong — knowledge and prediction are inseparable. Those with the most knowledge are, in fact, the best at prediction. But his admonition of overly…

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Kent Kroeger

I am a survey and statistical consultant with over 30 -years experience measuring and analyzing public opinion (You can contact me at: kroeger98@yahoo.com)